Home/Colombia Tips/Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Envigado
Categoría Primera AMonday, 17 September 2018 · Full-time3-1✓
ATL

Atletico Nacional Medellin

VS
ENV

Envigado

Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Envigado Prediction

Over2.5 goals
63% confidence

Why we picked this for Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Envigado

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Atletico Nacional Medellin against Envigado (Categoría Primera A), rated at 63% confidence. Matches involving Atletico Nacional Medellin produced 3.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Envigado it is 2.8 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 3 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 63% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 3-1, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, Atletico Nacional Medellin last 5
2.8
avg goals, Envigado last 5
33%
last 3 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atletico Nacional Medellin
Deportivo Pasto 0-2 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Sep 10, 2018
Under 2.5✕
Atletico Nacional Medellin 2-3 Atletico Bucaramanga
Sep 06, 2018
Over 2.5✓
Jaguares de Cordoba 1-1 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Sep 03, 2018
Under 2.5✕
Atletico Nacional Medellin 3-2 Alianza Petrolera
Aug 25, 2018
Over 2.5✓
America de Cali 0-2 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Aug 19, 2018
Under 2.5✕
Envigado
Envigado 2-1 Patriotas
Sep 09, 2018
Over 2.5✓
Independiente Santa Fe 3-1 Envigado
Sep 06, 2018
Over 2.5✓
Envigado 1-3 Deportes Tolima
Sep 02, 2018
Over 2.5✓
Leones 1-1 Envigado
Aug 25, 2018
Under 2.5✕
Envigado 0-1 Deportivo La Equidad
Aug 21, 2018
Under 2.5✕

Last 3 meetings

Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Envigado, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 26, 2018EnvigadoAtletico Nacional Medellin2-2
Over 2.5✓
Sep 25, 2017EnvigadoAtletico Nacional Medellin0-2
Under 2.5✕
Apr 17, 2017Atletico Nacional MedellinEnvigado2-0
Under 2.5✕