Home/Italy Tips/Sampdoria vs Fiorentina
Serie AWednesday, 19 September 2018 · Full-time1-1✓
SAM

Sampdoria

VS
FIO

Fiorentina

Sampdoria vs Fiorentina Prediction

Under2.5 goals
51% confidence

Why we picked this for Sampdoria vs Fiorentina

For this Serie A fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Sampdoria vs Fiorentina, at 51% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Sampdoria's games produced 2.8 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Fiorentina's games averaged 3.2, with 2 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 3 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. With 51% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 1-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Sampdoria last 5
3.2
avg goals, Fiorentina last 5
100%
last 3 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Sampdoria
Frosinone Calcio 0-5 Sampdoria
Sep 15, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Sampdoria 3-0 Napoli
Sep 02, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Udinese Calcio 1-0 Sampdoria
Aug 26, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Sampdoria 1-0 Viterbese Castrense
Aug 12, 2018
Under 2.5✓
SPAL 3-1 Sampdoria
May 20, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Fiorentina
Napoli 1-0 Fiorentina
Sep 15, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Fiorentina 1-0 Udinese Calcio
Sep 02, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Fiorentina 6-1 ChievoVerona
Aug 26, 2018
Over 2.5✕
AC Milan 5-1 Fiorentina
May 20, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Fiorentina 0-1 Cagliari Calcio
May 13, 2018
Under 2.5✓

Last 3 meetings

Sampdoria vs Fiorentina, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 21, 2018SampdoriaFiorentina3-1
Over 2.5✕
Dec 13, 2017FiorentinaSampdoria3-2
Over 2.5✕
Aug 27, 2017FiorentinaSampdoria1-2
Over 2.5✕