Everton
Southampton
Everton vs Southampton Prediction
Why we picked this for Everton vs Southampton
Our pick for Everton vs Southampton in EFL Trophy is Under 2.5 goals, with 66% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Everton's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.0 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Southampton (2.8 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 3 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 66%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 1-1. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 3 meetings
Everton vs Southampton, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2018 | Everton | Southampton | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| May 05, 2018 | Everton | Southampton | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Nov 26, 2017 | Southampton | Everton | 4-1 | Over 2.5✕ |