Bolton
Derby County
Bolton vs Derby County Prediction
Why we picked this for Bolton vs Derby County
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Bolton against Derby County (Championship), rated at 55% confidence. Matches involving Bolton produced 2.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Derby County it is 2.0 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 0 of the last 2 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 55% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-0, so Under 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 2 meetings
Bolton vs Derby County, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 07, 2018 | Derby County | Bolton | 3-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Aug 19, 2017 | Bolton | Derby County | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |