Home/UEFA Tips/Poland vs Italy
Nations LeagueSunday, 14 October 2018 · Full-time0-1✓
POL

Poland

VS
ITA

Italy

Poland vs Italy Prediction

Under2.5 goals
50% confidence

Why we picked this for Poland vs Italy

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Poland against Italy (Nations League), rated at 50% confidence. Matches involving Poland produced 2.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Italy it is 1.6 goals per game, with 0 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

The head-to-head points the same way: 1 of their last 1 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 50%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution. The match ended 0-1, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Poland last 5
1.6
avg goals, Italy last 5
0%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
1 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Poland
Poland 2-3 Portugal
Oct 11, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Italy 1-1 Poland
Sep 07, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Poland 1-1 Portugal
Jun 30, 2016
Under 2.5✓
Switzerland 1-1 Poland
Jun 25, 2016
Under 2.5✓
Ukraine 0-1 Poland
Jun 21, 2016
Under 2.5✓
Italy
Portugal 1-0 Italy
Sep 10, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Italy 1-1 Poland
Sep 07, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Germany 1-1 Italy
Jul 02, 2016
Under 2.5✓
Italy 2-0 Spain
Jun 27, 2016
Under 2.5✓
Italy 0-1 Rep of Ireland
Jun 22, 2016
Under 2.5✓

Last meeting

Poland vs Italy, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 07, 2018ItalyPoland1-1
Under 2.5✓