Middlesbrough
Derby County
Middlesbrough vs Derby County Prediction
Why we picked this for Middlesbrough vs Derby County
Our pick for Middlesbrough vs Derby County in Championship is Under 2.5 goals, with 98% confidence. Recent form: 1 of Middlesbrough's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (1.8 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Derby County (2.6 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 0 of the last 2 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 98% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-1, so Under 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 2 meetings
Middlesbrough vs Derby County, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2018 | Derby County | Middlesbrough | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Middlesbrough | Derby County | 0-3 | Over 2.5✕ |