Chapecoense vs America MG Prediction

For this Serie A fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Chapecoense vs America MG, at 59% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Chapecoense's games produced 2.4 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. America MG's games averaged 1.6, with 1 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 3 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 59%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 1-0. The pick lost.

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