Derby County
Birmingham
Derby County vs Birmingham Prediction
Why we picked this for Derby County vs Birmingham
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Derby County against Birmingham (Championship), rated at 63% confidence. Matches involving Derby County produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Birmingham it is 2.8 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.
Past meetings don't decide it either way, with 1 of the last 2 ending under 2.5. At 63%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 3-1. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 2 meetings
Derby County vs Birmingham, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2018 | Birmingham | Derby County | 0-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Sep 23, 2017 | Derby County | Birmingham | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |