Derby County vs Aston Villa Prediction

For this Championship fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Derby County vs Aston Villa, at 52% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Derby County's games produced 3.2 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Aston Villa's games averaged 2.0, with 2 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 2 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. With 52% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 0-3. The pick won.

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