Home/England Tips/Stoke City vs Derby County
ChampionshipWednesday, 28 November 2018 · Full-time2-1✕
STO

Stoke City

VS
DER

Derby County

Stoke City vs Derby County Prediction

Under2.5 goals
53% confidence

Why we picked this for Stoke City vs Derby County

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Stoke City against Derby County (Championship), rated at 53% confidence. Matches involving Stoke City produced 1.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Derby County it is 3.4 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

There are no recent meetings between these teams in our data, so head-to-head history plays no part here. At 53%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution. The match ended 2-1, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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1.4
avg goals, Stoke City last 5
3.4
avg goals, Derby County last 5
—
no previous meetings
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Stoke City
Stoke City 2-2 Queens Park Rangers
Nov 24, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Nottm Forest 0-0 Stoke City
Nov 10, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Stoke City 0-0 Middlesbrough
Nov 03, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Bristol City 0-1 Stoke City
Oct 27, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Sheffield United 1-1 Stoke City
Oct 23, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Derby County
Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 Derby County
Nov 24, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Derby County 0-3 Aston Villa
Nov 10, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Derby County 3-1 Birmingham
Nov 03, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Middlesbrough 1-1 Derby County
Oct 27, 2018
Under 2.5✓
West Bromwich Albion 1-4 Derby County
Oct 24, 2018
Over 2.5✕