Stoke City
Derby County
Stoke City vs Derby County Prediction
Why we picked this for Stoke City vs Derby County
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Stoke City against Derby County (Championship), rated at 53% confidence. Matches involving Stoke City produced 1.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Derby County it is 3.4 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
There are no recent meetings between these teams in our data, so head-to-head history plays no part here. At 53%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution. The match ended 2-1, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.


