Home/Germany Tips/RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05
BundesligaSunday, 16 December 2018 · Full-time4-1✕
RB

RB Leipzig

VS
MAI

Mainz 05

RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 Prediction

Under2.5 goals
72% confidence

Why we picked this for RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05

Under 2.5 goals is our call for RB Leipzig against Mainz 05 (Bundesliga), rated at 72% confidence. Matches involving RB Leipzig produced 1.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Mainz 05 it is 2.6 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 2 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 72%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 4-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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1.8
avg goals, RB Leipzig last 5
2.6
avg goals, Mainz 05 last 5
100%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 1-1 Rosenborg
Dec 13, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Freiburg 3-0 RB Leipzig
Dec 08, 2018
Over 2.5✕
RB Leipzig 2-0 Monchengladbach
Dec 02, 2018
Under 2.5✓
FC Red Bull Salzburg 1-0 RB Leipzig
Nov 29, 2018
Under 2.5✓
VfL Wolfsburg 1-0 RB Leipzig
Nov 24, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Mainz 05
Mainz 05 1-1 Hannover 96
Dec 09, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Fortuna Dusseldorf 0-1 Mainz 05
Nov 30, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Mainz 05 1-2 Borussia Dortmund
Nov 24, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Freiburg 1-3 Mainz 05
Nov 10, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Mainz 05 2-1 Werder Bremen
Nov 04, 2018
Over 2.5✕

Last 2 meetings

RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 29, 2018Mainz 05RB Leipzig3-0
Over 2.5✕
Dec 09, 2017RB LeipzigMainz 052-2
Over 2.5✕