Watford
Chelsea
Watford vs Chelsea Prediction
Why we picked this for Watford vs Chelsea
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Watford against Chelsea (Premier League), rated at 59% confidence. Matches involving Watford produced 3.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Chelsea it is 2.6 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 0 of the last 2 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 59% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-2, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 2 meetings
Watford vs Chelsea, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 05, 2018 | Watford | Chelsea | 4-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Oct 21, 2017 | Chelsea | Watford | 4-2 | Over 2.5✕ |