Home/International Tips/Sweden vs Finland
FriendliesTuesday, 08 January 2019 · Full-time0-1✓
SWE

Sweden

VS
FIN

Finland

Sweden vs Finland Prediction

Under2.5 goals
98% confidence

Why we picked this for Sweden vs Finland

Our pick for Sweden vs Finland in Friendlies is Under 2.5 goals, with 98% confidence. Recent form: 1 of Sweden's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (1.8 goals per game in total), against 0 of 5 for Finland (1.4 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 2 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 98%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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1.8
avg goals, Sweden last 5
1.4
avg goals, Finland last 5
100%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
1 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Sweden
Sweden 2-0 Russia
Nov 20, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Turkey 0-1 Sweden
Nov 17, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Russia 0-0 Sweden
Oct 11, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Sweden 2-3 Turkey
Sep 10, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Sweden 0-1 Belgium
Jun 22, 2016
Under 2.5✓
Finland
Hungary 2-0 Finland
Nov 18, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Greece 1-0 Finland
Nov 15, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Finland 2-0 Greece
Oct 15, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Estonia 0-1 Finland
Oct 12, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Finland 1-0 Estonia
Sep 11, 2018
Under 2.5✓

Last 2 meetings

Sweden vs Finland, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 07, 2011FinlandSweden1-2
Over 2.5✕
Jun 07, 2011SwedenFinland5-0
Over 2.5✕