Home/Italy Tips/Fiorentina vs Napoli
Serie ASaturday, 09 February 2019 · Full-time0-0✕
FIO

Fiorentina

VS
NAP

Napoli

Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction

Over2.5 goals
68% confidence

Why we picked this for Fiorentina vs Napoli

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Fiorentina against Napoli (Serie A), rated at 68% confidence. Matches involving Fiorentina produced 5.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Napoli it is 2.0 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 3 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 68% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-0, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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5.0
avg goals, Fiorentina last 5
2.0
avg goals, Napoli last 5
33%
last 3 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Fiorentina
Udinese Calcio 1-1 Fiorentina
Feb 03, 2019
Under 2.5✕
Fiorentina 7-1 Roma
Jan 30, 2019
Over 2.5✓
ChievoVerona 3-4 Fiorentina
Jan 27, 2019
Over 2.5✓
Fiorentina 3-3 Sampdoria
Jan 20, 2019
Over 2.5✓
Torino 0-2 Fiorentina
Jan 13, 2019
Under 2.5✕
Napoli
Napoli 3-0 Sampdoria
Feb 02, 2019
Over 2.5✓
AC Milan 2-0 Napoli
Jan 29, 2019
Under 2.5✕
AC Milan 0-0 Napoli
Jan 26, 2019
Under 2.5✕
Napoli 2-1 Lazio
Jan 20, 2019
Over 2.5✓
Napoli 2-0 Sassuolo
Jan 13, 2019
Under 2.5✕

Last 3 meetings

Fiorentina vs Napoli, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 15, 2018NapoliFiorentina1-0
Under 2.5✕
Apr 29, 2018FiorentinaNapoli3-0
Over 2.5✓
Dec 10, 2017NapoliFiorentina0-0
Under 2.5✕