Atalanta
SPAL
Atalanta vs SPAL Prediction
Why we picked this for Atalanta vs SPAL
Over 2.5 goals is our call for Atalanta against SPAL (Serie A), rated at 62% confidence. Matches involving Atalanta produced 3.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For SPAL it is 2.0 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 3 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 62%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-1. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 3 meetings
Atalanta vs SPAL, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2018 | SPAL | Atalanta | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Apr 07, 2018 | SPAL | Atalanta | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Nov 05, 2017 | Atalanta | SPAL | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |