Home/Italy Tips/SPAL vs Fiorentina
Serie ASunday, 17 February 2019 · Full-time1-4✕
SPA

SPAL

VS
FIO

Fiorentina

SPAL vs Fiorentina Prediction

Under2.5 goals
98% confidence

Why we picked this for SPAL vs Fiorentina

Our pick for SPAL vs Fiorentina in Serie A is Under 2.5 goals, with 98% confidence. Recent form: 3 of SPAL's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Fiorentina (4.6 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 2 of the last 3 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 98%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-4. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, SPAL last 5
4.6
avg goals, Fiorentina last 5
33%
last 3 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

SPAL
Atalanta 2-1 SPAL
Feb 10, 2019
Over 2.5✕
SPAL 0-0 Torino
Feb 03, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Parma 2-3 SPAL
Jan 27, 2019
Over 2.5✕
SPAL 1-1 Bologna
Jan 20, 2019
Under 2.5✓
AC Milan 2-1 SPAL
Dec 29, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Fiorentina
Fiorentina 0-0 Napoli
Feb 09, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Udinese Calcio 1-1 Fiorentina
Feb 03, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Fiorentina 7-1 Roma
Jan 30, 2019
Over 2.5✕
ChievoVerona 3-4 Fiorentina
Jan 27, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Fiorentina 3-3 Sampdoria
Jan 20, 2019
Over 2.5✕

Last 3 meetings

SPAL vs Fiorentina, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 22, 2018FiorentinaSPAL3-0
Over 2.5✕
Apr 15, 2018FiorentinaSPAL0-0
Under 2.5✓
Nov 19, 2017SPALFiorentina1-1
Under 2.5✓