Moreirense vs Tondela Prediction

For this Primeira Liga fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Moreirense vs Tondela, at 79% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Moreirense's games produced 2.0 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Tondela's games averaged 2.8, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 3 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 79%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →