Derby County
Millwall
Derby County vs Millwall Prediction
Why we picked this for Derby County vs Millwall
Our pick for Derby County vs Millwall in Championship is Under 2.5 goals, with 95% confidence. Recent form: 1 of Derby County's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (1.6 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for Millwall (1.4 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 3 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 95%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-1. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 3 meetings
Derby County vs Millwall, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2018 | Millwall | Derby County | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Jan 30, 2018 | Millwall | Derby County | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Dec 23, 2017 | Derby County | Millwall | 3-0 | Over 2.5✕ |