Aston Villa
Derby County
Aston Villa vs Derby County Prediction
Why we picked this for Aston Villa vs Derby County
Our pick for Aston Villa vs Derby County in Championship is Over 2.5 goals, with 89% confidence. Recent form: 1 of Aston Villa's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.2 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for Derby County (1.8 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 3 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 89%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 4-0. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 3 meetings
Aston Villa vs Derby County, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2018 | Derby County | Aston Villa | 0-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Aston Villa | Derby County | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Derby County | Aston Villa | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |