Home/Spain Tips/Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid
Primera DivisionSaturday, 16 March 2019 · Full-time2-0✓
ATH

Athletic Bilbao

VS
ATL

Atletico Madrid

Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Under2.5 goals
69% confidence

Why we picked this for Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid

Our pick for Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid in Primera Division is Under 2.5 goals, with 69% confidence. Recent form: 0 of Athletic Bilbao's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (1.2 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for Atletico Madrid (2.0 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 3 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 69% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 2-0, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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1.2
avg goals, Athletic Bilbao last 5
2.0
avg goals, Atletico Madrid last 5
67%
last 3 H2H went over 2.5
1 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Espanyol
Mar 08, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Valencia 2-0 Athletic Bilbao
Mar 03, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Eibar
Feb 23, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Huesca 0-1 Athletic Bilbao
Feb 18, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Barcelona
Feb 10, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid
Juventus 3-0 Atletico Madrid
Mar 12, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Atletico Madrid 1-0 Leganes
Mar 09, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Real Sociedad 0-2 Atletico Madrid
Mar 03, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid 2-0 Villarreal
Feb 24, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid 2-0 Juventus
Feb 20, 2019
Under 2.5✓

Last 3 meetings

Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 10, 2018Atletico MadridAthletic Bilbao3-2
Over 2.5✕
Feb 18, 2018Atletico MadridAthletic Bilbao2-0
Under 2.5✓
Sep 20, 2017Athletic BilbaoAtletico Madrid1-2
Over 2.5✕