Home/France Tips/Paris SG vs Marseille
Ligue 1Sunday, 17 March 2019 · Full-time3-1✕
PAR

Paris SG

VS
MAR

Marseille

Paris SG vs Marseille Prediction

Under2.5 goals
58% confidence

Why we picked this for Paris SG vs Marseille

For this Ligue 1 fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Paris SG vs Marseille, at 58% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Paris SG's games produced 4.0 goals on average, 5 of them over 2.5. Marseille's games averaged 2.0, with 1 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 3 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 58% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 3-1, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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4.0
avg goals, Paris SG last 5
2.0
avg goals, Marseille last 5
67%
last 3 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Paris SG
Dijon 0-4 Paris SG
Mar 12, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Paris SG 1-3 Manchester United
Mar 06, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Caen 1-2 Paris SG
Mar 02, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Paris SG 3-0 Nimes
Feb 23, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Paris SG 5-1 Montpellier
Feb 20, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Marseille
Marseille 1-0 Nice
Mar 10, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Marseille 2-0 Saint Etienne
Mar 03, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Stade Rennais 1-1 Marseille
Feb 24, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Marseille 2-0 SC Amiens
Feb 16, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Dijon 1-2 Marseille
Feb 08, 2019
Over 2.5✕

Last 3 meetings

Paris SG vs Marseille, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 28, 2018MarseilleParis SG0-2
Under 2.5✓
Feb 25, 2018Paris SGMarseille3-0
Over 2.5✕
Oct 22, 2017MarseilleParis SG2-2
Over 2.5✕