Home/International Tips/Italy vs Spain
European ChampionshipMonday, 27 June 2016 · Full-time2-0✓
ITA

Italy

VS
SPA

Spain

Italy vs Spain Prediction

Under2.5 goals
92% confidence

Why we picked this for Italy vs Spain

For this European Championship fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Italy vs Spain, at 92% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Italy's games produced 2.2 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Spain's games averaged 2.4, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

Past meetings don't decide it either way, with 1 of the last 2 ending under 2.5. At 92%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Italy last 5
2.4
avg goals, Spain last 5
50%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Italy
Italy 0-1 Rep of Ireland
Jun 22, 2016
Under 2.5✓
Italy 1-0 Sweden
Jun 17, 2016
Under 2.5✓
Belgium 0-2 Italy
Jun 13, 2016
Under 2.5✓
Italy 2-1 Norway
Oct 13, 2015
Over 2.5✕
Azerbaijan 1-3 Italy
Oct 10, 2015
Over 2.5✕
Spain
Croatia 2-1 Spain
Jun 21, 2016
Over 2.5✕
Spain 3-0 Turkey
Jun 17, 2016
Over 2.5✕
Spain 1-0 Czech Republic
Jun 13, 2016
Under 2.5✓
Ukraine 0-1 Spain
Oct 12, 2015
Under 2.5✓
Spain 4-0 Luxembourg
Oct 09, 2015
Over 2.5✕

Last 2 meetings

Italy vs Spain, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jul 01, 2012SpainItaly4-0
Over 2.5✕
Jun 10, 2012SpainItaly1-1
Under 2.5✓