Burnley
Cardiff City
Burnley vs Cardiff City Prediction
Why we picked this for Burnley vs Cardiff City
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Burnley against Cardiff City (Premier League), rated at 50% confidence. Matches involving Burnley produced 3.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Cardiff City it is 2.4 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 1 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. With 50% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 2-0. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last meeting
Burnley vs Cardiff City, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2018 | Cardiff City | Burnley | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |