Home/UEFA Tips/Napoli vs Arsenal
Europa LeagueThursday, 18 April 2019 · Full-time0-1✕
NAP

Napoli

VS
ARS

Arsenal

Napoli vs Arsenal Prediction

Over2.5 goals
69% confidence

Why we picked this for Napoli vs Arsenal

For this Europa League fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Napoli vs Arsenal, at 69% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Napoli's games produced 3.2 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Arsenal's games averaged 1.8, with 1 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 0 of the last 1 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 69% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-1, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, Napoli last 5
1.8
avg goals, Arsenal last 5
0%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Napoli
ChievoVerona 1-3 Napoli
Apr 14, 2019
Over 2.5✓
Arsenal 2-0 Napoli
Apr 11, 2019
Under 2.5✕
Napoli 1-1 Genoa
Apr 07, 2019
Under 2.5✕
Empoli 2-1 Napoli
Apr 03, 2019
Over 2.5✓
Roma 1-4 Napoli
Mar 31, 2019
Over 2.5✓
Arsenal
Watford 0-1 Arsenal
Apr 15, 2019
Under 2.5✕
Arsenal 2-0 Napoli
Apr 11, 2019
Under 2.5✕
Everton 1-0 Arsenal
Apr 07, 2019
Under 2.5✕
Arsenal 2-0 Newcastle
Apr 01, 2019
Under 2.5✕
Arsenal 3-0 Stade Rennais
Mar 14, 2019
Over 2.5✓

Last meeting

Napoli vs Arsenal, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 11, 2019ArsenalNapoli2-0
Under 2.5✕