Swansea
Derby County
Swansea vs Derby County Prediction
Why we picked this for Swansea vs Derby County
Our pick for Swansea vs Derby County in Championship is Under 2.5 goals, with 68% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Swansea's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (4.0 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Derby County (2.8 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 1 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 68%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 1-1. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last meeting
Swansea vs Derby County, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 01, 2018 | Derby County | Swansea | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |