Leeds United vs Derby County Prediction

For this Championship fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Leeds United vs Derby County, at 77% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Leeds United's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Derby County's games averaged 2.2, with 1 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 77%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-4. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →