Home/Japan Tips/Nagasaki vs Tokushima Vortis
J.League 2Saturday, 25 May 2019 · Full-time1-0✓
NAG

Nagasaki

VS
TOK

Tokushima Vortis

Nagasaki vs Tokushima Vortis Prediction

Under2.5 goals
65% confidence

Why we picked this for Nagasaki vs Tokushima Vortis

Our pick for Nagasaki vs Tokushima Vortis in J.League 2 is Under 2.5 goals, with 65% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Nagasaki's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Tokushima Vortis (2.2 per game). Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 0 of the last 2 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 65% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-0, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Nagasaki last 5
2.2
avg goals, Tokushima Vortis last 5
100%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Nagasaki
Kanazawa 0-1 Nagasaki
May 19, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Nagasaki 3-2 Albirex Niigata
May 11, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Tokyo Verdy 2-1 Nagasaki
May 05, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Nagasaki 0-0 Kagoshima Utd
Apr 27, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Tochigi 1-3 Nagasaki
Apr 20, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Tokushima Vortis
Tokushima Vortis 1-1 Montedio Yamagata
May 19, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Tokushima Vortis
May 12, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Tokushima Vortis 3-2 Tochigi
May 05, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Kyoto Sanga 0-0 Tokushima Vortis
Apr 28, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Fagiano Okayama 2-1 Tokushima Vortis
Apr 20, 2019
Over 2.5✕

Last 2 meetings

Nagasaki vs Tokushima Vortis, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 10, 2017NagasakiTokushima Vortis2-1
Over 2.5✕
Mar 12, 2017Tokushima VortisNagasaki3-1
Over 2.5✕