Derby County
Aston Villa
Derby County vs Aston Villa Prediction
Why we picked this for Derby County vs Aston Villa
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Derby County against Aston Villa (Championship), rated at 64% confidence. Matches involving Derby County produced 3.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Aston Villa it is 2.2 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.
The head-to-head is split: 2 of their last 4 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. The 64% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-2, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 4 meetings
Derby County vs Aston Villa, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 02, 2019 | Aston Villa | Derby County | 4-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Derby County | Aston Villa | 0-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Aston Villa | Derby County | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Derby County | Aston Villa | 2-0 | Under 2.5✓ |