Croatia
Wales
Croatia vs Wales Prediction
Why we picked this for Croatia vs Wales
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Croatia against Wales (European Championship), rated at 72% confidence. Matches involving Croatia produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Wales it is 2.4 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.
The two sides haven't met recently, so head-to-head history plays no part in this call. At 72%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-1. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.