El Nacional
Emelec Guayaquil
El Nacional vs Emelec Guayaquil Prediction
Why we picked this for El Nacional vs Emelec Guayaquil
Under 2.5 goals is our call for El Nacional against Emelec Guayaquil (Serie A), rated at 69% confidence. Matches involving El Nacional produced 1.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Emelec Guayaquil it is 2.8 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 69% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-0, so Under 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
El Nacional vs Emelec Guayaquil, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2019 | Emelec Guayaquil | El Nacional | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Oct 06, 2018 | El Nacional | Emelec Guayaquil | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Sep 16, 2018 | Emelec Guayaquil | El Nacional | 3-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Jul 15, 2018 | Emelec Guayaquil | El Nacional | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Feb 17, 2018 | El Nacional | Emelec Guayaquil | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |