Home/Portugal Tips/Nacional vs Penafiel
Segunda LigaSaturday, 21 September 2019 · Full-time2-1✕
NAC

Nacional

VS
PEN

Penafiel

Nacional vs Penafiel Prediction

Under2.5 goals
75% confidence

Why we picked this for Nacional vs Penafiel

Our pick for Nacional vs Penafiel in Segunda Liga is Under 2.5 goals, with 75% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Nacional's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.2 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Penafiel (2.8 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

Past meetings don't decide it either way, with 1 of the last 2 ending under 2.5. At 75%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Nacional last 5
2.8
avg goals, Penafiel last 5
50%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Nacional
Académica de Coimbra 1-2 Nacional
Sep 15, 2019
Over 2.5✕
UDV Vilafranquense 1-2 Nacional
Aug 31, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Nacional 0-0 Mafra
Aug 25, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Leixões 1-1 Nacional
Aug 18, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Nacional 3-0 Chaves
Aug 10, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Penafiel
Penafiel 2-1 Mafra
Sep 15, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Chaves 2-1 Penafiel
Sep 01, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Penafiel 3-0 Cova da Piedade
Aug 24, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Casa Pia Atletico 1-2 Penafiel
Aug 17, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Penafiel 0-2 Academica Viseu
Aug 11, 2019
Under 2.5✓

Last 2 meetings

Nacional vs Penafiel, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 14, 2018PenafielNacional0-3
Over 2.5✕
Aug 06, 2017NacionalPenafiel1-1
Under 2.5✓