Home/England Tips/Derby County vs Birmingham
ChampionshipSaturday, 28 September 2019 · Full-time3-2✕
DER

Derby County

VS
BIR

Birmingham

Derby County vs Birmingham Prediction

Under2.5 goals
64% confidence

Why we picked this for Derby County vs Birmingham

For this Championship fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Derby County vs Birmingham, at 64% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Derby County's games produced 2.4 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Birmingham's games averaged 2.0, with 2 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Under 2.5.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 4 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 64% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 3-2, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Derby County last 5
2.0
avg goals, Birmingham last 5
75%
last 4 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Derby County
Leeds United 1-1 Derby County
Sep 21, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 1-1 Cardiff City
Sep 13, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Brentford 3-0 Derby County
Aug 31, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Derby County 1-1 West Bromwich Albion
Aug 24, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 1-2 Bristol City
Aug 20, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Birmingham
Birmingham 0-1 Preston North End
Sep 21, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Charlton Athletic 0-1 Birmingham
Sep 14, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Birmingham 2-1 Stoke City
Aug 31, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Swansea 3-0 Birmingham
Aug 25, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Birmingham 2-0 Barnsley
Aug 20, 2019
Under 2.5✓

Last 4 meetings

Derby County vs Birmingham, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 19, 2019BirminghamDerby County2-2
Over 2.5✕
Nov 03, 2018Derby CountyBirmingham3-1
Over 2.5✕
Jan 13, 2018BirminghamDerby County0-3
Over 2.5✕
Sep 23, 2017Derby CountyBirmingham1-1
Under 2.5✓