Home/Spain Tips/Barcelona vs Real Madrid
Primera DivisionWednesday, 18 December 2019 · Full-time0-0✓
BAR

Barcelona

VS
REA

Real Madrid

Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction

Under2.5 goals
85% confidence

Why we picked this for Barcelona vs Real Madrid

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Barcelona against Real Madrid (Primera Division), rated at 85% confidence. Matches involving Barcelona produced 3.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Real Madrid it is 3.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 85% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 0-0, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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3.8
avg goals, Barcelona last 5
3.0
avg goals, Real Madrid last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Barcelona
Real Sociedad 2-2 Barcelona
Dec 14, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Inter Milan 1-2 Barcelona
Dec 10, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Barcelona 5-2 Mallorca
Dec 07, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Atletico Madrid 0-1 Barcelona
Dec 01, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Barcelona 3-1 Borussia Dortmund
Nov 27, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Real Madrid
Valencia 1-1 Real Madrid
Dec 15, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Club Brugge 1-3 Real Madrid
Dec 11, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Real Madrid 2-0 Espanyol
Dec 07, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Deportivo Alaves 1-2 Real Madrid
Nov 30, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Real Madrid 2-2 Paris SG
Nov 26, 2019
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Barcelona vs Real Madrid, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 02, 2019Real MadridBarcelona0-1
Under 2.5✓
Feb 27, 2019Real MadridBarcelona0-3
Over 2.5✕
Feb 06, 2019BarcelonaReal Madrid1-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 28, 2018BarcelonaReal Madrid5-1
Over 2.5✕
May 06, 2018BarcelonaReal Madrid2-2
Over 2.5✕