Home/England Tips/Bournemouth vs Burnley
Premier LeagueSaturday, 21 December 2019 · Full-time0-1✓
BOU

Bournemouth

VS
BUR

Burnley

Bournemouth vs Burnley Prediction

Under2.5 goals
57% confidence

Why we picked this for Bournemouth vs Burnley

For this Premier League fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Bournemouth vs Burnley, at 57% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Bournemouth's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Burnley's games averaged 3.2, with 3 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 0 of the last 4 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 57% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-1, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Bournemouth last 5
3.2
avg goals, Burnley last 5
100%
last 4 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Bournemouth
Chelsea 0-1 Bournemouth
Dec 14, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Bournemouth 0-3 Liverpool
Dec 07, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Crystal Palace 1-0 Bournemouth
Dec 03, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Tottenham Hotspur 3-2 Bournemouth
Nov 30, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Bournemouth 1-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Nov 23, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Burnley
Burnley 1-0 Newcastle
Dec 14, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Tottenham Hotspur 5-0 Burnley
Dec 07, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Burnley 1-4 Manchester City
Dec 03, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Burnley 0-2 Crystal Palace
Nov 30, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Watford 0-3 Burnley
Nov 23, 2019
Over 2.5✕

Last 4 meetings

Bournemouth vs Burnley, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 06, 2019BournemouthBurnley1-3
Over 2.5✕
Sep 22, 2018BurnleyBournemouth4-0
Over 2.5✕
May 13, 2018BurnleyBournemouth1-2
Over 2.5✕
Nov 29, 2017BournemouthBurnley1-2
Over 2.5✕