Burnley
Aston Villa
Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction
Why we picked this for Burnley vs Aston Villa
Our pick for Burnley vs Aston Villa in Premier League is Under 2.5 goals, with 95% confidence. Recent form: 1 of Burnley's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.0 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Aston Villa (3.0 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 1 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 95%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-2. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last meeting
Burnley vs Aston Villa, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2019 | Aston Villa | Burnley | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |