Home/International Tips/Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05
FriendliesSaturday, 11 January 2020 · Full-time0-2✓
BOR

Borussia Dortmund

VS
MAI

Mainz 05

Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05 Prediction

Under2.5 goals
64% confidence

Why we picked this for Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Borussia Dortmund against Mainz 05 (Friendlies), rated at 64% confidence. Matches involving Borussia Dortmund produced 4.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 5 of those went over 2.5. For Mainz 05 it is 3.2 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 1 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 64% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-2, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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4.2
avg goals, Borussia Dortmund last 5
3.2
avg goals, Mainz 05 last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
9 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Borussia Dortmund
TSG Hoffenheim 2-1 Borussia Dortmund
Dec 20, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Borussia Dortmund 3-3 RB Leipzig
Dec 17, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Mainz 05 0-4 Borussia Dortmund
Dec 14, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Slavia Prague
Dec 10, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Borussia Dortmund 5-0 Fortuna Dusseldorf
Dec 07, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Mainz 05
Mainz 05 0-1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Dec 21, 2019
Under 2.5✓
Werder Bremen 0-5 Mainz 05
Dec 17, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Mainz 05 0-4 Borussia Dortmund
Dec 14, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Augsburg 2-1 Mainz 05
Dec 07, 2019
Over 2.5✕
Mainz 05 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
Dec 02, 2019
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 14, 2019Mainz 05Borussia Dortmund0-4
Over 2.5✕
Apr 13, 2019Borussia DortmundMainz 052-1
Over 2.5✕
Nov 24, 2018Mainz 05Borussia Dortmund1-2
Over 2.5✕
May 05, 2018Borussia DortmundMainz 051-2
Over 2.5✕
Dec 12, 2017Mainz 05Borussia Dortmund0-2
Under 2.5✓