Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Why we picked this for Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid
Over 2.5 goals is our call for Real Madrid against Atletico Madrid (Super Cup), rated at 65% confidence. Matches involving Real Madrid produced 1.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Atletico Madrid it is 3.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 65% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-0, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2019 | Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | 0-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Feb 09, 2019 | Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | 1-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Real Madrid | Atletico Madrid | 0-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Apr 08, 2018 | Real Madrid | Atletico Madrid | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Nov 18, 2017 | Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | 0-0 | Under 2.5✕ |