Aston Villa
Watford
Aston Villa vs Watford Prediction
Why we picked this for Aston Villa vs Watford
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Aston Villa against Watford (Premier League), rated at 73% confidence. Matches involving Aston Villa produced 3.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Watford it is 3.0 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 1 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 73%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-1. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last meeting
Aston Villa vs Watford, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | Watford | Aston Villa | 3-0 | Over 2.5✕ |