Montpellier
Metz
Montpellier vs Metz Prediction
Why we picked this for Montpellier vs Metz
Our pick for Montpellier vs Metz in Ligue 1 is Under 2.5 goals, with 56% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Montpellier's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.2 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Metz (2.4 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 3 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 56% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-1, so Under 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 3 meetings
Montpellier vs Metz, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 02, 2019 | Metz | Montpellier | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Feb 10, 2018 | Metz | Montpellier | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Montpellier | Metz | 1-3 | Over 2.5✕ |