Home/Portugal Tips/Penafiel vs Nacional
Segunda LigaSaturday, 29 February 2020 · Full-time1-1✓
PEN

Penafiel

VS
NAC

Nacional

Penafiel vs Nacional Prediction

Under2.5 goals
61% confidence

Why we picked this for Penafiel vs Nacional

Our pick for Penafiel vs Nacional in Segunda Liga is Under 2.5 goals, with 61% confidence. Recent form: 1 of Penafiel's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (1.6 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for Nacional (2.4 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 3 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 61%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 1-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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1.6
avg goals, Penafiel last 5
2.4
avg goals, Nacional last 5
67%
last 3 H2H went over 2.5
2 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Penafiel
Mafra 1-0 Penafiel
Feb 23, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Penafiel 0-0 Chaves
Feb 17, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Cova da Piedade 2-2 Penafiel
Feb 08, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Penafiel 1-1 Casa Pia Atletico
Feb 01, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Academica Viseu 1-0 Penafiel
Jan 26, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Nacional
Nacional 1-0 Académica de Coimbra
Feb 23, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Nacional 5-1 UDV Vilafranquense
Feb 15, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Mafra 1-1 Nacional
Feb 08, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Nacional 1-0 Leixões
Feb 02, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Chaves 0-2 Nacional
Jan 26, 2020
Under 2.5✓

Last 3 meetings

Penafiel vs Nacional, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 21, 2019NacionalPenafiel2-1
Over 2.5✕
Jan 14, 2018PenafielNacional0-3
Over 2.5✕
Aug 06, 2017NacionalPenafiel1-1
Under 2.5✓