Aston Villa
Chelsea
Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction
Why we picked this for Aston Villa vs Chelsea
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Aston Villa against Chelsea (Premier League), rated at 84% confidence. Matches involving Aston Villa produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Chelsea it is 3.2 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 0 of the last 1 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 84% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-2, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last meeting
Aston Villa vs Chelsea, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 04, 2019 | Chelsea | Aston Villa | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |