Home/England Tips/Derby County vs Brentford
ChampionshipSaturday, 11 July 2020 · Full-time1-3✕
DER

Derby County

VS
BRE

Brentford

Derby County vs Brentford Prediction

Under2.5 goals
80% confidence

Why we picked this for Derby County vs Brentford

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Derby County against Brentford (Championship), rated at 80% confidence. Matches involving Derby County produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Brentford it is 2.4 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 80% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-3, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Derby County last 5
2.4
avg goals, Brentford last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Derby County
West Bromwich Albion 2-0 Derby County
Jul 08, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 1-1 Nottm Forest
Jul 04, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Preston North End 0-1 Derby County
Jul 01, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 2-1 Reading
Jun 27, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Millwall 2-3 Derby County
Jun 20, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Brentford
Brentford 2-1 Charlton Athletic
Jul 07, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Brentford 3-0 Wigan Athletic
Jul 04, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Reading 0-3 Brentford
Jun 30, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Brentford 1-0 West Bromwich Albion
Jun 26, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Fulham 0-2 Brentford
Jun 20, 2020
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Derby County vs Brentford, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 31, 2019BrentfordDerby County3-0
Over 2.5✕
Apr 06, 2019BrentfordDerby County3-3
Over 2.5✕
Sep 22, 2018Derby CountyBrentford3-1
Over 2.5✕
Feb 03, 2018Derby CountyBrentford3-0
Over 2.5✕
Sep 26, 2017BrentfordDerby County1-1
Under 2.5✓