Derby County
Brentford
Derby County vs Brentford Prediction
Why we picked this for Derby County vs Brentford
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Derby County against Brentford (Championship), rated at 80% confidence. Matches involving Derby County produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Brentford it is 2.4 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 80% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-3, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Derby County vs Brentford, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2019 | Brentford | Derby County | 3-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Apr 06, 2019 | Brentford | Derby County | 3-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Derby County | Brentford | 3-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Feb 03, 2018 | Derby County | Brentford | 3-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Sep 26, 2017 | Brentford | Derby County | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |


