Home/Portugal Tips/Porto vs Sporting Lisbon
Primeira LigaWednesday, 15 July 2020 · Full-time2-0✓
POR

Porto

VS
SPO

Sporting Lisbon

Porto vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction

Under2.5 goals
57% confidence

Why we picked this for Porto vs Sporting Lisbon

Our pick for Porto vs Sporting Lisbon in Primeira Liga is Under 2.5 goals, with 57% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Porto's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.8 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Sporting Lisbon (2.0 per game). Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 57% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 2-0, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Porto last 5
2.0
avg goals, Sporting Lisbon last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Porto
Tondela 1-3 Porto
Jul 09, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Porto 5-0 Belenenses
Jul 05, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Pacos Ferreira 0-1 Porto
Jun 29, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Porto 4-0 Boavista
Jun 23, 2020
Over 2.5✕
AVS 0-0 Porto
Jun 16, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Santa Clara
Jul 10, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Moreirense 0-0 Sporting Lisbon
Jul 06, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Gil Vicente
Jul 01, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Belenenses 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
Jun 26, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Tondela
Jun 18, 2020
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Porto vs Sporting Lisbon, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 05, 2020Sporting LisbonPorto1-2
Over 2.5✕
May 18, 2019PortoSporting Lisbon2-1
Over 2.5✕
Jan 12, 2019Sporting LisbonPorto0-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 02, 2018PortoSporting Lisbon2-1
Over 2.5✕
Oct 01, 2017Sporting LisbonPorto0-0
Under 2.5✓