Home/Portugal Tips/Oliveirense vs Penafiel
Segunda LigaFriday, 18 September 2020 · Full-time2-1✕
OLI

Oliveirense

VS
PEN

Penafiel

Oliveirense vs Penafiel Prediction

Under2.5 goals
78% confidence

Why we picked this for Oliveirense vs Penafiel

Our pick for Oliveirense vs Penafiel in Segunda Liga is Under 2.5 goals, with 78% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Oliveirense's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.0 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for Penafiel (1.4 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 78%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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3.0
avg goals, Oliveirense last 5
1.4
avg goals, Penafiel last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Oliveirense
Vizela 2-1 Oliveirense
Sep 12, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Oliveirense 1-1 Estoril
Mar 07, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Porto II 1-2 Oliveirense
Mar 01, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Oliveirense 2-1 Casa Pia Atletico
Feb 22, 2020
Over 2.5✕
SC Farense 3-1 Oliveirense
Feb 16, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Penafiel
Penafiel 1-0 Sporting Covilha
Sep 14, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Académica de Coimbra 3-0 Penafiel
Mar 05, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Penafiel 1-1 Nacional
Feb 29, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Mafra 1-0 Penafiel
Feb 23, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Penafiel 0-0 Chaves
Feb 17, 2020
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Oliveirense vs Penafiel, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 15, 2019OliveirensePenafiel2-1
Over 2.5✕
May 04, 2019PenafielOliveirense2-4
Over 2.5✕
Jan 06, 2019OliveirensePenafiel2-1
Over 2.5✕
Apr 22, 2018PenafielOliveirense1-0
Under 2.5✓
Dec 10, 2017OliveirensePenafiel2-1
Over 2.5✕