Penafiel
Arouca
Penafiel vs Arouca Prediction
Why we picked this for Penafiel vs Arouca
Our pick for Penafiel vs Arouca in Segunda Liga is Under 2.5 goals, with 70% confidence. Recent form: 5 of Penafiel's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.2 goals per game in total), against 0 of 5 for Arouca (1.0 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.
Past meetings don't decide it either way, with 2 of the last 4 ending under 2.5. At 70%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-2. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 4 meetings
Penafiel vs Arouca, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2019 | Arouca | Penafiel | 2-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Penafiel | Arouca | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Apr 29, 2018 | Arouca | Penafiel | 1-4 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Dec 17, 2017 | Penafiel | Arouca | 2-0 | Under 2.5✓ |