Mainz 05
TSG Hoffenheim
Mainz 05 vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction
Why we picked this for Mainz 05 vs TSG Hoffenheim
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Mainz 05 against TSG Hoffenheim (Bundesliga), rated at 73% confidence. Matches involving Mainz 05 produced 3.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For TSG Hoffenheim it is 4.0 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 73%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-1. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Mainz 05 vs TSG Hoffenheim, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2020 | Mainz 05 | TSG Hoffenheim | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Nov 24, 2019 | TSG Hoffenheim | Mainz 05 | 1-5 | Over 2.5✕ |
| May 18, 2019 | Mainz 05 | TSG Hoffenheim | 4-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Dec 23, 2018 | TSG Hoffenheim | Mainz 05 | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Feb 10, 2018 | TSG Hoffenheim | Mainz 05 | 4-2 | Over 2.5✕ |