AC Milan
Fiorentina
AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction
Why we picked this for AC Milan vs Fiorentina
Over 2.5 goals is our call for AC Milan against Fiorentina (Serie A), rated at 53% confidence. Matches involving AC Milan produced 3.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Fiorentina it is 1.4 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. With 53% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 2-0. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
AC Milan vs Fiorentina, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | Fiorentina | AC Milan | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Sep 29, 2019 | AC Milan | Fiorentina | 1-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| May 11, 2019 | Fiorentina | AC Milan | 0-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Dec 22, 2018 | AC Milan | Fiorentina | 0-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| May 20, 2018 | AC Milan | Fiorentina | 5-1 | Over 2.5✓ |