Home/Italy Tips/Fiorentina vs Genoa
Serie AMonday, 07 December 2020 · Full-time1-1✕
FIO

Fiorentina

VS
GEN

Genoa

Fiorentina vs Genoa Prediction

Over2.5 goals
70% confidence

Why we picked this for Fiorentina vs Genoa

Our pick for Fiorentina vs Genoa in Serie A is Over 2.5 goals, with 70% confidence. Recent form: 0 of Fiorentina's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (1.2 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Genoa (3.0 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 70%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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1.2
avg goals, Fiorentina last 5
3.0
avg goals, Genoa last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Fiorentina
AC Milan 2-0 Fiorentina
Nov 29, 2020
Under 2.5✕
Udinese Calcio 0-1 Fiorentina
Nov 25, 2020
Under 2.5✕
Fiorentina 0-1 Benevento Calcio
Nov 22, 2020
Under 2.5✕
Parma 0-0 Fiorentina
Nov 07, 2020
Under 2.5✕
Roma 2-0 Fiorentina
Nov 01, 2020
Under 2.5✕
Genoa
Genoa 1-2 Parma
Nov 30, 2020
Over 2.5✓
Sampdoria 1-3 Genoa
Nov 26, 2020
Over 2.5✓
Udinese Calcio 1-0 Genoa
Nov 22, 2020
Under 2.5✕
Genoa 1-3 Roma
Nov 08, 2020
Over 2.5✓
Genoa 1-2 Torino
Nov 04, 2020
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Fiorentina vs Genoa, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 25, 2020FiorentinaGenoa0-0
Under 2.5✕
Sep 01, 2019GenoaFiorentina2-1
Over 2.5✓
May 26, 2019FiorentinaGenoa0-0
Under 2.5✕
Dec 29, 2018GenoaFiorentina0-0
Under 2.5✕
May 06, 2018GenoaFiorentina2-3
Over 2.5✓