Home/England Tips/Birmingham vs Derby County
ChampionshipTuesday, 29 December 2020 · Full-time0-4✕
BIR

Birmingham

VS
DER

Derby County

Birmingham vs Derby County Prediction

Under2.5 goals
97% confidence

Why we picked this for Birmingham vs Derby County

For this Championship fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Birmingham vs Derby County, at 97% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Birmingham's games produced 2.8 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Derby County's games averaged 0.8, with 0 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 97%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-4. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Birmingham last 5
0.8
avg goals, Derby County last 5
100%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Birmingham
Nottm Forest 0-0 Birmingham
Dec 26, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Birmingham 1-4 Middlesbrough
Dec 19, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Cardiff City 3-2 Birmingham
Dec 16, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Birmingham 0-1 Watford
Dec 12, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Reading 1-2 Birmingham
Dec 09, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Derby County
Derby County 0-1 Preston North End
Dec 26, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 2-0 Swansea
Dec 16, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 0-0 Stoke City
Dec 12, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Brentford 0-0 Derby County
Dec 09, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Millwall 0-1 Derby County
Dec 05, 2020
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Birmingham vs Derby County, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jul 22, 2020BirminghamDerby County1-3
Over 2.5✕
Sep 28, 2019Derby CountyBirmingham3-2
Over 2.5✕
Apr 19, 2019BirminghamDerby County2-2
Over 2.5✕
Nov 03, 2018Derby CountyBirmingham3-1
Over 2.5✕
Jan 13, 2018BirminghamDerby County0-3
Over 2.5✕