Home/Portugal Tips/Penafiel vs Varzim SC
Segunda LigaSunday, 10 January 2021 · Full-time1-2✕
PEN

Penafiel

VS
VAR

Varzim SC

Penafiel vs Varzim SC Prediction

Under2.5 goals
64% confidence

Why we picked this for Penafiel vs Varzim SC

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Penafiel against Varzim SC (Segunda Liga), rated at 64% confidence. Matches involving Penafiel produced 2.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Varzim SC it is 2.0 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 64%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 1-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Penafiel last 5
2.0
avg goals, Varzim SC last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Penafiel
Estoril 3-1 Penafiel
Jan 04, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Penafiel 2-0 Benfica Lisbon B
Dec 27, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Cova da Piedade 2-3 Penafiel
Dec 19, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Penafiel 1-0 Leixões
Dec 04, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Academica Viseu 0-0 Penafiel
Nov 28, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Varzim SC
Varzim SC 1-1 UDV Vilafranquense
Jan 03, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Vizela 1-0 Varzim SC
Dec 29, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Varzim SC 0-2 Feirense
Dec 19, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Varzim SC 1-3 Cova da Piedade
Dec 06, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Benfica Lisbon B 1-0 Varzim SC
Nov 30, 2020
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Penafiel vs Varzim SC, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 30, 2019Varzim SCPenafiel1-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 14, 2019PenafielVarzim SC2-0
Under 2.5✓
Dec 15, 2018Varzim SCPenafiel3-4
Over 2.5✕
Feb 10, 2018PenafielVarzim SC2-3
Over 2.5✕
Aug 27, 2017Varzim SCPenafiel3-0
Over 2.5✕